Author Archives: Carl from Chicago

OTC on the Bears’ offseason

We love “over the cap” – a web site that attempts to explain how NFL teams operate and how they leverage the economics of NFL contracts to construct teams and increase (or not) their chances of success.  It is also ironic that the main guy running the site is a Jets fan because the Jets generally fail to take his advice and do everything wrong.

In a disturbing but seemingly accurate summary of the Bears’ offseason and turnover on their roster…

19. Bears

Snaps Lost Quality Snaps Lost Quality ST Lost Avg. APY Lost Avg. Rank
22.3% 14.3% 9.8% $2,622,083 17.5

This has to qualify as one of the oddest offseasons of all time.  The Bears were relatively average in their turnover despite having a terrible team last season and went out and signed an expensive free agent quarterback and drafted a top QB but sold off their best receiver.  This has all the makings of a front office giving a head coach enough rope to hang himself so that their hands are clean when they fire him next season. When final rosters are set and we revisit the snaps gained and lost I expect everything to cancel out except for Glennon. If Glennon fails expect wholesale changes in 2018 with Fox being the fall guy for 2017. I don’t know if that’s the way to run the team or not.

It is hard for me to improve on that, especially

I don’t know if that’s the way to run the team or not

White Flag Trade

As a long time Sox fan I remember the damn “White Flag” trade.  It even has it’s own wikipedia page…

The White Flag Trade was a trade made between two Major League Baseball teams in 1997. On July 31, 1997, the Chicago White Sox traded three major players to the San Francisco Giants for six minor leaguers. At the time, the trade was maligned by the vast majority of White Sox fans as Jerry Reinsdorf giving up on the team, as they were only 3 12 games behind the Cleveland Indians for the American League Central Division lead. [1] In 2000, however, the White Sox won the Central Division title, receiving large contributions from two of the players received in this trade (Keith Foulke and Bob Howry).

Today the Bulls traded Jimmy Butler.  Jimmy Butler was a basketball stud, a guy built for the modern game of basketball.  They got some stuff in return but nothing great.  They got a higher draft pick, but just high enough to pick a “project” type guy, a 7 footer who had one year out of Arizona.  He’s never gonna have a career like Butler.

I don’t mind tanking but the Bulls aren’t really tanking.  They are just playing well enough to get bad draft picks and avoiding clearing out their terrible management team – the only positive thing that they’ve done in years is draft and re-sign Butler in the first place.

Will look to see what Fro Dog says over his site where he mournfully follows the Bulls…

Bears Were The Highest Spender in Free Agency

I saw this graphic from the awesome site “Over the Cap” that highlighted spending on free agency in the offseason.  I was surprised to see that the Bears were the top spender!  It doesn’t seem that we’ve picked up that much talent in the off season, but I guess Glennon cost a lot of money (not a lot for a QB in the grand scheme of things) and then we had just a ton of other pickups, as well.

It doesn’t seem like we really added a lot of game changing players, but since the roster has almost no talent except for offensive linemen, running back and linebackers (like it is 1985 or something) – we had an immense amount of holes to fill in order to improve the team.

I was joking with Dan about our expectations for the Bears and he said that the goal was “to not be a laughingstock” which was hilarious and an apt description of my feelings, as well.  I think maybe it is a candidate for the masthead of this site.

One thing that this points out (again) is that the Bears may be a terrible team that hasn’t won in 30+ years (OUCH) with a front office that is awful at drafting and brings zero innovation, but they are NOT AFRAID TO SPEND MONEY.  We all have heard about how cheap Papa Bear was but we should shed that stereotype and replace it with a new stereotype which is that

The Chicago Bears spend big, have the worst stadium, terrible coaching, no innovation, draft poorly, and are locked in a cycle of failure.  We celebrate wins that are over 30 years old and know in our hearts as fans that we will never be a competitive franchise.  Win or lose, we will booze.

I think that sums it up.  Oddly enough, spending money is about the ONLY thing the Bears are good at.

Cutty Haters Rejoice

Well it finally happened.  The Bears released Jay Cutler.  Jay is the guy that the haters blame for everything, not our revolving carousel of idiotic offensive coordinators, our terrible drafting, and our lousy roster full of injured players and free agent busts.

Now we have Mike Glennon.  Whooo hooo!  A guy who basically hasn’t played in 2 years and wasn’t great when he DID play.  Of course in today’s NFL with a swollen salary cap and a dearth of talent especially at quarterback Glennon is probably an OK choice at $14M / year.  But I’m not exactly expecting him to set the world on fire.  He is a bit of an upgrade over the starting tire fire of walking wounded from last year but not much.  Anyways, knowing the Bears, he’ll probably be hurt in the first few games (hope he makes it out of the pre-season) and we can just project his stats anyways.

And we let Jeffrey go to.  He wasn’t a bust like Kevin White but he showed just enough brilliance that I’d bet he’s going to shine once he’s off the Bears.

Over the last few years we’ve let all our skilled and all-pro (at any time in their careers) people go on offense including Forte, Cutty, Jeffrey, Marshall, and Bennett and replaced them basically with our new RB and a bunch of nothing.  It is strange that we actually have a decent O line, though.

As a Bears fan I want this all to work out.  I want to dream that Glennon on the bench was like having Rogers watch Favre and learn.  I want our new receivers to kick ass.  I want everything to be great.

But I’m not holding my breath.  Too bad it isn’t the late 80’s we would have a decent team with a solid defense, good running game and a ball control offense.  Unfortunately it is 2017 when you need an aerial assault to even have a chance which is utterly lacking for us.

I will say that any player who’s agent COULD have had them available right now is missing out on just a ludicrous free agent market of paying big for middling talent.  This giant salary cap is crazy.

Only A Clown Would Take a Trade for Cutler

I am seeing hilarious reports of the Bears trying to trade Cutler, like this.  It is the worst-kept secret in pro sports that Da Bears want to dump Cutty since they only have a small charge against the salary cap and can walk away from the 2017 and 2018 years on the contract.  If they could get anything for him, like a late round draft pick, that’s better than nothing.

The problem is, any team who would pick up Cutler would also need to pick up his contract and pay him big money.  However, if the Bears cut him, then that team would also have the opportunity to negotiate with Cutty as a free agent and (presumably) pay far less.

So it seems like only an idiot would give up a draft pick to the Bears for the opportunity to take on Cutty and his contract.  But good luck to Pace for trying.

Some Idiot Thinks the Bears will win 10 Games in 2017

This Bears blog picked up that Sports Illustrated had the Bears picked for 10 wins in 2017, noting that the 2016 team was decimated by injuries.  First of all, as a Bears fan, I want them to go 16-0, but here’s what I actually thought of that prediction…

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA YOU MUST BE OUT OF YOUR MIND

The Bears have gaping holes across their roster.  While I don’t have a crystal ball, it seems highly likely that they will drop Cutty soon (mid-March when the NFL “season” starts for 2017), and then they will have NO QB.  We won’t count “St. Pick” Barkley or Hoyer who is a career backup who picks up enough stats in garbage time to look competent.  Sure, they could get a QB by trade or the draft, but it seems like we will have one of the weakest starting QB’s going into the season of any team.  See how that went for the Raiders or Texans, two teams 10x better than the Bears who were booted out of the playoffs promptly when they encountered teams with good QB play.

Sure they have some good defensive guys on their roster (usually hurt), but their secondary is a disaster and if they were actually trying to play competitive football this would be a gaping hole.  If you swapped out the Bears secondary for guys on the practice squad of a typical team I don’t think we would see a dramatic difference, and that’s bad.

On offense – with Jeffrey probably gone (or hurt / suspended if he happens to be with the team) – we have terrible receivers and tight ends.  True, we have a decent O line and running back but with no QB, receivers, or tight ends that’s not a formula for winning football.

Oh and let’s not forget that the Bears aren’t exactly a coaching / drafting powerhouse.  Almost all of our top draft picks have been busts and the last thing we innovated was the T Formation.

If anyone is giving you the over / under on a 10 win season for the Bears, damn you’ve got to take the under on that, being a Bears fan notwithstanding.

Subjugation… And Thoughts on a Las Vegas Franchise

I thought this was a fitting end to a miserable Bears season.  I asked Siri on my iPhone for the Bears’ score in the Minnesota game and this was her answer.

Bears_Subjugation

Recently I read that Oakland is moving to Las Vegas.  Some dopey analysts were saying that the team would struggle because it would be the 5th smallest media market.  My answer to that is – what are they smoking!

The NFL is a “post market” league.  Everyone follows it on fantasy sports and the Red Zone anyways.  The damn live games are practically unwatchable unless you are sh*t-faced because they take forever and you need to sit through 100 pickup truck and boner pill commercials.

A franchise in Las Vegas is GENIUS.  Why?  Because EVERYONE will come there when the away team comes.  Imagine fans from Chicago, Wisconsin, New York, etc… when their teams play in Las Vegas – you can combine debauchery, gambling, booze and football – what’s not to like?  I’ll bet 3/4 of the stadium will be fans of the opposing team, all drunk as skunks.  The only down side will be the presence of Oakland fans… hopefully they will be so enraged that they won’t bother to attend anymore.