Category Archives: Fire Mike Glennon

Bears Close Against Possible NFC Leaders Carolina?

Carolina might be one of the better teams in the NFC, with Green Bay losing Rogers and the Cowboys seemingly falling apart.  Thus it is amazing that the Bears are only 3 point underdogs at home against this team.

Here’s a prediction per the Bleacher Report

Look for the Bears to make this a competitive game at home. It should come down to a field goal either way, and that will keep this game within the point spread. Take the points and the Bears.

Let’s think about this a bit.  First of all, the Bears finally gave up on Giraffe Neck, primarily because the mouth breathers (fans) could not stand the idea of giving up on the entire season for a better draft pick and saving the wear and tear on our new shiny QB of the future.  While I don’t set the odds for Vegas, I think the line would be a lot higher if the Bears hadn’t been very close against the Vikings (who amazingly are also one of the better teams in the NFC) and beat Baltimore on the road, which is due to the fact that Trubisky came into the game as the starter and brings the Bears a shot at winning instead of a cardboard cutout (albeit a tall one) of a QB.

If the Bears really are this close to Carolina with all their wide receivers hurt and down many key folks on defense to season ending injuries, what does this say about HOW TERRIBLE THE NFL IS RIGHT NOW?

A bunch of crazy things are happening in the NFL.  Teams that were supposed to be great are terrible, and teams that were supposed to be terrible are great.  What is the cause?  What separates the good teams from the bad teams?

  1. Competent QB play – this implies that your QB isn’t costing you the game and is able to run a decent passing attack in the scope of your offense.  If you have a terrible O line (like the Bears right now) then this must be overcome; if you have no receivers (like the Jets) then that has to overcome, as well
  2. Defense Against the Pass – I don’t care how it happens per se whether it is between rushing the QB to hurry him or having great downfield players in the secondary, if you can put pressure on the opposing passing offense you will do well.  Sure there are some running backs out there but they aren’t really putting teams up or down all that much in the grand scheme of things

The Jets, for instance, have this.  Crazily enough, McClown is playing competently even with all his obstacles and the defense is woke enough to do some damage.  Even the lowly Dolphins with Smokin’ Jay were able to win once he started getting his soon-to-be-backbreaking passes to land.

Do the Bears meet these criteria with Trubisky in the lineup?  Probably.  He isn’t killing them like Giraffe Neck and can make some plays when the o line gives him a couple seconds.  Their defense is actually not too terrible, either.  The difference is probably special teams / trick plays which seem to tilt the Bears one way or another on any given week.

I still laugh HA HA HA when I see people take defensive players or receivers and the like with their top draft picks while there are top (potential) QB’s on the board.  IF YOU HAVE TERRIBLE QB PLAY YOU ARE TERRIBLE, PERIOD.  Look at the Raiders without Carr – they are now “the Bears” as Dan and I typically term a team “without hope of winning a playoff game”.  Cleveland took a defensive stud with their #1 pick and sure he’s made a few plays but their quarterback woes make them completely uncompetitive as a team.

It is sooooo ironic that McClown is out there leading the Jests and smokin Jay can even bring the Dolphins an occasional win.  The level of play in the NFL for QB’s is laughable, and it is even worse when “garbage time” yards are taken out of the equation (I still can’t believe that Glennon threw for 300+ yards in a game).

 

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Not The Correct Plan!

So it is official today – the mouth breathers won and Mitchell Trubinsky will be starter for the Bears on Monday Night Football against the Queens.  Sigh.

The optimal plan is to let giraffe neck get killed all year, then bring Grabowski in for the last few meaningless games, and THEN let him start next year.  But I get it.  All of the Bears coaches and GM are on the hot seat and if they don’t win now, they will all get canned.  So what do they care if Trubiskies gets killed?

Tittiess has nobody to throw the ball to, our d sucks, and this team isn’t going anywhere.

Why?  Why can’t we stick to the plan of letting Glennon soak up the punishment!??!  Oh well.  Godspeed, Mitch.  We hardly knew ya.  You never had a chance.

Bears vs. Green Bay Thursday Night

Tonight the Bears are on Thursday night football.  I think it also is streaming across Amazon too.  Dan is out of town and I am in Seahawk country but at least I will get this game on TV.

Wow that game last week was a doozy.  We got some good breaks on defense and special teams, despite that classic epic fail on the lost TD.  I definitely screamed at my TV for that.

I also heard from folks who went to the Bears vs. Steelers that the game was a sh*tshow on the side with the cheap seats and that they ran out of beer and water and the cash stations went dry.  Apparently planning for hot weather is beyond the capabilities of the Bears brain trust.  Oh well.  We don’t expect much up in the nosebleeds.

As for this game, what to hope for?  Our running back Howard seems pretty banged up, but keeps going out for more plays.  The secondary is better than last years’ but we have some injuries and we are facing Rogers so that’s always a bummer.

I am back to the core values of the Bears right now:

  • Smash our opponents. The Packers O line is pretty terrible right now and hopefully that lets us get a lot of hits on the QB.  Take em all and make em count
  • Try not to be a laughingstock.  I know we are playing Giraffe Neck Glennon just because we know this season is already lost but don’t ask him to do anything crazy like throw the ball to a wide receiver or anything.  Just run it or throw it to the running back or tight end and pray for no pick sixes

The seasons is already more promising than my miserable expectations.  We could have won game 1 and we won game 3.  Maybe we will be respectable tonight.  I’m hoping.

Life in the Cheap Seats

Want to sum up our Bears’ experience?  Here’s the view in the cheap seats of the last play of our loss to Atlanta when Giraffe Neck Glennon got sacked on the final play.

It was a beautiful day… took about an hour to get out of the damn stadium since we stayed until the last play.

New QB

Well, last night was interesting.  Glennon went out there and proved himself completely incompetent with a QB rating of zero.  Amazingly bad.

Sanchez came in for just a little while.

THEN Trubisky came in and completely kicked ass.  But, always remember what the wolf says…

So what can we really glean from last night?

Glennon was terrible against some Denver starters.

Sanchez gets an incomplete.

Trubisky killed guys who will be doing landscaping in a few weeks.

Hey, I am happy that Trubisky killed it, don’t get me wrong.  Let’s enjoy it but move ahead cautiously.

OTC on the Bears’ offseason

We love “over the cap” – a web site that attempts to explain how NFL teams operate and how they leverage the economics of NFL contracts to construct teams and increase (or not) their chances of success.  It is also ironic that the main guy running the site is a Jets fan because the Jets generally fail to take his advice and do everything wrong.

In a disturbing but seemingly accurate summary of the Bears’ offseason and turnover on their roster…

19. Bears

Snaps Lost Quality Snaps Lost Quality ST Lost Avg. APY Lost Avg. Rank
22.3% 14.3% 9.8% $2,622,083 17.5

This has to qualify as one of the oddest offseasons of all time.  The Bears were relatively average in their turnover despite having a terrible team last season and went out and signed an expensive free agent quarterback and drafted a top QB but sold off their best receiver.  This has all the makings of a front office giving a head coach enough rope to hang himself so that their hands are clean when they fire him next season. When final rosters are set and we revisit the snaps gained and lost I expect everything to cancel out except for Glennon. If Glennon fails expect wholesale changes in 2018 with Fox being the fall guy for 2017. I don’t know if that’s the way to run the team or not.

It is hard for me to improve on that, especially

I don’t know if that’s the way to run the team or not

At What Cost?

So, anything to talk about for the draft? Anything?

Well, I suppose so. Ha, ha.

Obviously the huge news was the much derided trade to get Trubisky. Before I try to get into the actual cost of that trade, and trying to resolve it against the second round moves, lets talk about a concept.

Back a few weeks ago I wrote about the Chicago quarterback dogpile. While we had a dogpile, I don’t really have a problem with the stockpiling of quarterbacks. It is obviously the most important position in the league and when things go south, so does your team (anyone really like seeing Pickles on the field?).

In LA, the Rams made a mistake and had no backup when their starter went down last year and they had to toss Goff into the fire. Against what I predicted, he flopped hard, and Wentz of all people did well. You never know. But I think it is always best to let a new college fresh qb get some reps and garbage time in before tossing him into the fray. With the current stockpile, we will have the luxury of letting Trubisky watch Glennon/Sanchez/Shaw get killed while he is learning and getting used to the speed of the NFL. The concept is pretty sound and I think it is a trend that you will see with other NFL teams.

But at what cost? According to Jason at Over the Cap, the cost was approximately $12.6mm. But, as I predicted in a text to a friend last night, Pace traded down in the second round.

Bears got:
2nd round, 45th pick
4th round, 119th pick
6th round, 197th pick
4th round, 2018

Cardinals got:
2nd round, 36th pick
7th round, 221st pick

Trubisky trade:
Bears give up:
3rd round, 67th pick
4th round, 111th pick (note, the Bears have another 4th rounder this year)
3rd round, 2018

So what does all of this number soup mean? Well, the 7th rounder is crap, and is just about as valuable as a UDFA so I will cross that off the list. The fourth rounders that the Bears gave to SF and got from Arizona basically cancel each other out. The sixth and fourth from 2018 from the Cardinals basically (to me) cancel out the third we gave up to the Niners this year. So we are out, if you believe me, one third round pick to move up one spot in the first round and get Trubisky. I suppose you could dive into the numbers and hash all of this out to the penny, but I am too lazy for that.

And this isn’t taking into account that Pace might have more deals up his sleeve.

If you add to all of this that proof is beginning to bubble up that there was indeed competition for that second pick and that Trubisky was a highly rated player for a lot of teams and the decision doesn’t seem so terrible. In fact, it should bother us none at all. We needed a qb, we got likely the best on the board and we are moving forward.

In addition, what if Glennon is decent? Well, again, with the luxury of letting Trubisky sit the bench, he is great trade bait and we could end up on the top side of the trade with the Niners if we deal him away at a later date. When you think about it, there isn’t much wrong with any of this.