Category Archives: Fire The Draft

At What Cost?

So, anything to talk about for the draft? Anything?

Well, I suppose so. Ha, ha.

Obviously the huge news was the much derided trade to get Trubisky. Before I try to get into the actual cost of that trade, and trying to resolve it against the second round moves, lets talk about a concept.

Back a few weeks ago I wrote about the Chicago quarterback dogpile. While we had a dogpile, I don’t really have a problem with the stockpiling of quarterbacks. It is obviously the most important position in the league and when things go south, so does your team (anyone really like seeing Pickles on the field?).

In LA, the Rams made a mistake and had no backup when their starter went down last year and they had to toss Goff into the fire. Against what I predicted, he flopped hard, and Wentz of all people did well. You never know. But I think it is always best to let a new college fresh qb get some reps and garbage time in before tossing him into the fray. With the current stockpile, we will have the luxury of letting Trubisky watch Glennon/Sanchez/Shaw get killed while he is learning and getting used to the speed of the NFL. The concept is pretty sound and I think it is a trend that you will see with other NFL teams.

But at what cost? According to Jason at Over the Cap, the cost was approximately $12.6mm. But, as I predicted in a text to a friend last night, Pace traded down in the second round.

Bears got:
2nd round, 45th pick
4th round, 119th pick
6th round, 197th pick
4th round, 2018

Cardinals got:
2nd round, 36th pick
7th round, 221st pick

Trubisky trade:
Bears give up:
3rd round, 67th pick
4th round, 111th pick (note, the Bears have another 4th rounder this year)
3rd round, 2018

So what does all of this number soup mean? Well, the 7th rounder is crap, and is just about as valuable as a UDFA so I will cross that off the list. The fourth rounders that the Bears gave to SF and got from Arizona basically cancel each other out. The sixth and fourth from 2018 from the Cardinals basically (to me) cancel out the third we gave up to the Niners this year. So we are out, if you believe me, one third round pick to move up one spot in the first round and get Trubisky. I suppose you could dive into the numbers and hash all of this out to the penny, but I am too lazy for that.

And this isn’t taking into account that Pace might have more deals up his sleeve.

If you add to all of this that proof is beginning to bubble up that there was indeed competition for that second pick and that Trubisky was a highly rated player for a lot of teams and the decision doesn’t seem so terrible. In fact, it should bother us none at all. We needed a qb, we got likely the best on the board and we are moving forward.

In addition, what if Glennon is decent? Well, again, with the luxury of letting Trubisky sit the bench, he is great trade bait and we could end up on the top side of the trade with the Niners if we deal him away at a later date. When you think about it, there isn’t much wrong with any of this.

Draft Open Thread

Here’s an open thread for everything draft related. The draft – easily the most over-hyped television event in all of media. I will say one thing – Pace better get this right or it will likely be his last with the Bears (or any other team for that matter).

Quarterback Dogpile

Most of the big names have been signed in free agency so we are in the NFL “doldrums” for a bit here until the draft. I thought I would take a few minutes to try to figure out just what the Bears are trying to tell us with the current dogpile we have on the team at the QB position.

Currently it is clear that Glennon will be the starter, since he has a massive guarantee for next season. Believe it or not, I am OK with this as there will be quite a few new players on offense, and if we draft a QB (more on this later) I wouldn’t want to just throw him into the fray and get killed.

Mark Sanchez was recently signed for one year. If you want to laugh, go to the Bears instagram site and check out the comments after they made the announcement. All of them (by Bear fans at least) were along the lines of “fuckfuckfuck” or “fml” or “awful!”. It is pretty hilarious. I am of the opinion that a total loser laughingstock team like the Bears should just kill their social media efforts until they are decent. Kevin White had to eventually shut off the comments on his Instagram as every time he posted, his comments filled up with “bust”, “epic bust”, “thanks for being a bust” and the like.

But I digress.

Sanchez was signed for $2mm and believe it or not I am pretty good with this deal. He may or may not make the team, and if you look around the league, that is a very good deal for a backup quarterback. Hell, McClown just signed for $6mm to play on the Jests and he is nothing more than a place filler. Would you rather have Clown at 6 or Sanchez at 2? Of course this is a dumb conversation but one that needs to be had when you are talking about a backup qb.

David Fales is a leftover from the Trestman “era” (lol) and has never really been given a chance imho. The Bears have protected him several times, promoting him to the team off of the practice squad so he doesn’t get pinched by another team, but what for? He never plays. Maybe they see something in him, but we will never know if he never hits the field.

Connor Shaw is also an unknown. After the broken leg we just don’t know where he will end up.

So we go into this year with 4 pretty craptacular QB’s in the big picture, one of whom we are overpaying by an insane amount. So what gives? What is the plan?

Well, it should be pretty clear after the draft. Of course everyone here is praying we draft a QB. I am not necessarily married to the idea that we draft the maniac Watson from Clemson with the 3 pick. In fact, I wouldn’t be adverse to seeing the Bears trade off that 3 for more picks lower down. But if they do draft Watson I would be good with it. That would basically give one of Shaw/Fales their walking papers after the Bears use them up in camp for an arm. Or maybe Sanchez will stink up the joint in camp and they will cut him.

Glennon simply can’t be the future of the team, and the Bears signed a decent deal as far as the time frame. The amount they are paying is ridiculous, as everyone will agree, but as long as there is a plan in place to bring up the QB of the future, I am more than happy to see Glennon and/or Sanchez/Fales/Shaw get killed while we are still putting our offense together. They don’t have anyone to throw the ball to anyways.

Let’s Talk About the Chicago Bears

Here we are, 1-6 – soon to be embarrassed on national TV (yet again) and we will be sitting at 1-7 to start the year. So let’s talk about the Chicago Bears.

There is so much to unpack here and so much history. I will begin with the boss, George McCaskey.

There are a lot of jokes that go around making fun of the McCaskey family and how they run things. But the fact of the matter is that they have not been stingy with the cash at all. Over and over they have spent untold millions of dollars on this team, trying to make it better. I question keeping Ted Phillips around, however. In what possible world can Ted be considered “successful”? But what is successful to the McCaskeys? Making money? They certainly do that. If it is simply a question of making money, well, more power to them. Nobody has to go to the games (keep an eye on the stands as the weather gets cold and things get more and more bleak). But my gut tells me that they really do want to win. So why is Ted around?

When Ted and George hired Ryan Pace, I felt really good about it. Fresh face, renewed energy, a new way to look at things. An interesting departure from stodgy Phil Emery. But what a mess. It doesn’t appear that Pace has any clear direction. Granted, our whole team seems to get injured every week (and who’s fault is that, anyways?) but we have seen hundreds of guys in Bear uniforms in just a year and a half since the Pace/Fox era started. Our drafts these first two years haven’t been stellar (jury still out on some players, I will give Pace that). But what is the plan? Is there one? The Bears have to be looking long term at this point and form some sort of plan and stick to it. Too many moving pieces.

John Fox. He seems completely clueless. Maybe it is just me. This was Pace’s big hire and he doesn’t really seem to be “with it” in pressers, or on the sidelines or…anything. I am pretty unimpressed so far.

Cutler. He’s gone after this year so everyone can stop blaming everything on him (see how well Hoyer and Barkley did in Cutler’s absence just like Pickles last year). So what are we going to do for a qb? Early draft pick? Could work, might not. Brady was a 6th rounder. The first rounder in Philly, against all of my predictions, seems to be doing well. The number one pick from last year’s draft hasn’t played a down yet. You just never know.

Our offensive line is adequate, but that doesn’t get you into the playoffs and adequate gets your qb killed. Over and over. Even Seattle is having a tough time keeping Wilson upright and Green Bay is also finding out what living with an adequate line is like. Rodgers is definitely not himself this year.

The receivers outside of Jeffrey are unremarkable and in need of an upgrade. Kevin White is a complete and total bust.

Our defense actually seems to be coming along. I know it takes time to learn a new system, but many players have played the 3-4 on other teams so it isn’t like it is as big of a deal as a new offensive coordinator. Our front seven (especially once we get McPhee back) is more stout than I have seen in a while, but our corners and safeties bite. Many injuries on that front as well.

Speaking of injuries, what the heck? Why are we so cursed? Our starting center blew his knee up on FAMILY NIGHT. That is insane. I don’t know if this is bad luck, or poor training, but it just seems like we are always the walking wounded. I have no real explanation for this as I assume that most of the trainers (maybe I am assuming too much) have some sort of NFL experience and know how to train guys up for the long season.

So where does all of this armchair quarterbacking leave us? I really don’t know. Will upper management give Pace and Fox another year? I think that is the real question. I don’t know how much pressure there is on these guys but the owners have to feel tired of seeing their franchise being a laughingstock for so long. If the pressure is too great, there will be sacrificial lambs first (coordinators) then probably Fox, then Pace will go. It is in all of their best interests to show at least a little flash of brilliance (ha) at the end of this year to give Ted and George some sort of confidence in what we have here.

In the end, I am sort of clueless. I know that all of these folks are working as hard as they can, but nothing seems to be clicking. Again.

Draft Open Thread

Hey y’all. Been a while – sorry, but things got pretty hectic on my end over the last several weeks and I haven’t had much time for anything, much less this terrible blog. I thought I would just drop an open thread in here for this weekend’s draft, probably the most overhyped show in all the land. For a nice primer, read Jason’s annual draft post on how the contracts are all structured. Let’s hope that our first rounder plays more this year than our first rounder last year.

Bears News and Notes

Well, now that the draft is over, it is the “quiet” time for NFL stuff. However there have been a few things going on up at Halas Hall that I would like to round up in this post.

The draft went well for the Bears, according to most “experts”. We definitely addressed some needs and didn’t make any dumb moves or trades. All of the draft picks have been signed. This used to be a huge deal, but with the new CBA of a few years ago, there really isn’t much negotiation for these guys any more. If three of the six catch on and contribute in any meaningful way, that will be a huge success as the draft is always a crap shoot. Look at Jacksonville, who had the number three overall pick in the draft. They chose Dante Fowler, who has already mangled his ACL and is out for the year.
Confused-Jacksonville-Jaguars-fan-in-stands
Others have beaten the draft all to hell so I won’t spend too much time on it here.

The Bears signed tackle Paul Cornick (another former Bronco player) on May 5, and then cut his ass on May 7 due to a “failed physical”. That term “failed physical” is tossed around pretty nonchalantly in the NFL and could really mean a million things. I am guessing he was trying to hide an injury or something that got vetted out in the physical.

The Bears signed an assload of undrafted free agents (UDFA’s) after the draft – 15 of them to be exact. If we can get just one of these guys to catch on it would be a huge success. Of note is the QB Shane Carden from East Carolina.

These highlight youtube videos of college football players crack me up. You can find them for almost every player of note. I think that the kids who are media majors have to make them for the school for one of their classes.

So for QB I think it will look something like this:
Run Cutler into the ground at least one more year since we will suck anyways, and maybe run him into the ground for his final year in 2016 too. Keep Jimmy “Pickles” Clausen for when Cutler gets hurt. That leaves the third string position to be fought out by Carden and Fales. I am guessing that one of them will make the practice squad and/or they will keep them as an inactive on the roster.

One thing I would like to bring into this post that is draft related was the choice of Jeremy Langford from Michigan State. This is a sure sign that Forte will have to take a massive pay cut as he is aging, or he will be gone. There is no more de-valued position in the NFL right now than running back.

The Black Unicorn appears to be on the trading block. As of this writing, the Bears have five or six tight ends on the roster so it does look like this is the end for him. He is smart, though for complaining and bitching and trying to get a new deal done NOW. With the new offense, it is almost a lock that Bennett will get fewer touches this year, and his stats were excellent last year – he was one of the very few proven performers for the Bears all year long. With an aging player, your stats declining is a BAD THING when it comes extension time. But he has attitude issues, and that doesn’t look like it will fly with a guy like Pace. So we will likely get a 4th or 5th rounder for him but oh well, that’s the NFL for ya. This is my favorite moment from last year, when he welcomed Kyle Fuller into the NFL in camp:

I am sure that the Bears owners and higher ups all almost vomited when they saw their first rounder get slammed to the ground.

The Bears have declined to pick up the fifth year option of Shea McClellin. This is an interesting moment in a recent presser from Pace – it almost appears as though he is doing everything he can not to just say to the reporter “are you nuts?” at the 4.55 mark in this press conference. I have a feeling that Shea will get cut before the season. We will always have this to thank him for:
shea gif
Ha ha ha I could watch that a million times.

As an aside, if you have never watched a Ryan Pace presser, you should. He is a refreshing change from the old, stodgy, typical GM. He is young, healthy, intense, and engaging. Will he be successful? Time will tell, but I like how he has come in and essentially blown up the place. Speaking of…

…Pace has fired many of the Bears scouts. It appears that he is just totally cleaning house and bringing in all new people from the players to the staff. I see no reason why he shouldn’t.

That’s about it for now. As I said, we are now heading into the quiet time for the NFL and there won’t be much to yap about but I will try to occasionally put up a post like this that consolidates a lot of the small news and notes that apply to the Bears.

Your Draft Week Open Thread

There isn’t a much more hyped event that offers nothing of value than the draft. I have to hand it to the NFL – they have done a good job at getting people excited about it, and it is a testament to how nuts the USA is about football that they garner huge ratings for the draft. And it is in Chicago this year, so we should see some good examples of Drunk Bear Fans milling about.

I won’t be watching past pick seven on Thursday night (that is, if the Bears don’t trade up or down), however I will take a look at who the Bears picked up later next week. For now, here is an open thread for you.

EDIT – d’oh I just looked at the forecast for this weekend. I will not be watching one second of the draft – need to get outside and thaw my frozen ass out.